A lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lose': can Allan Lichtman predict the 2024 election?

[SocialDemocrat61]

‘A lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lose’: can Allan Lichtman predict the 2024 election?
David Smith in Washington

The professor on his famous 13 ‘keys’ to the White House, a method for predicting election results that’s been right nine times out of 10

He has been called the Nostradamus of US presidential elections. Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the result of nine of the past 10 (and even the one that got away, in 2000, he insists was stolen from Al Gore). But now he is gearing up for perhaps his greatest challenge: Joe Biden v Donald Trump II.
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That same year he developed his now famous 13 keys to the White House, a method for predicting presidential election results that every four years tantalises the media, intrigues political operatives and provokes sniping from pollsters. Long before talk of the Steele dossier or Mueller investigation, it all began with a Russian reaching out across the cold war divide.
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He is likely to make his pronouncement on the 2024 presidential election in early August. He notes that Biden already has the incumbency key in his favour and, having crushed token challengers in the Democratic primary, has the contest key too. “That’s two keys off the top. That means six more keys would have to fall to predict his defeat. A lot would have to go wrong for Biden to lose.”

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/26/allan-lichtman-prediction-presidential-election